BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Fresno St

Class: 1A Class Rank: 69 Overall: (9-4) Overall Strength =  131.19
Conference: Mountain West Conference Record: (4-4) | District: 1A-01 Record: (8-4)

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2023 Away    W   136.32  39  35   1A  71 (  4-  8) Purdue                  5.13     -1.13                      
  2 09/09/2023 Home    W   113.58  34  31   1B  33 (  4-  7) Eastern Washington    -17.61     20.61                      
  3 09/16/2023 Away    W   158.85  29   0   1A  81 (  3-  9) Arizona St             27.66      1.34                      
  4 09/23/2023 Home    W   141.90  53  10   1A 133 (  1- 11) Kent St                10.71     32.29                      
  5 09/30/2023 Home    W * 128.86  27   9   1A 126 (  2- 10) Nevada                 -2.33     20.33                      
  6 10/07/2023 Away    L * 129.38  19  24   1A  64 (  9-  4) Wyoming                -1.81     -3.19                      
  7 10/13/2023 Away    W * 131.23  37  32   1A  96 (  6-  7) Utah St                 0.04      4.96                      
  8 10/28/2023 Home    W * 139.61  31  24   1A  56 (  9-  5) UNLV                    8.42     -1.42                      
  9 11/04/2023 Home    W * 143.61  37  30   1A  43 (  8-  6) Boise St               12.42     -5.42                      
 10 11/11/2023 Away    L * 112.97  18  42   1A  55 (  7-  6) San Jose St           -18.22     -5.78                      
 11 11/18/2023 Home    L * 107.61  17  25   1A 113 (  4-  8) New Mexico            -23.58     15.58                      
 12 11/25/2023 Away    L * 108.82  18  33   1A 108 (  4-  8) San Diego St          -22.37      7.37                      
 13 12/16/2023 Unknown W   152.72  37  10   1A  93 ( 10-  5) New Mexico St          21.53      5.47                      
      Averages             131.19  30.5 23.5

Best game:  158.85 = 29 point win over Arizona St
Worst game: 107.61 = 8 point loss to New Mexico
Team stdev:  16.59